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North Valley, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for North Valley NM
National Weather Service Forecast for: North Valley NM
Issued by: National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM
Updated: 6:01 am MDT Jun 27, 2025
 
Today

Today: Sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.
Mostly Clear

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east after midnight.
Partly Cloudy

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning.
Hot

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Partly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94.
Sunny then
Chance
T-storms
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Hi 93 °F Lo 65 °F Hi 95 °F Lo 63 °F Hi 98 °F Lo 62 °F Hi 94 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 91 °F

 

Today
 
Sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 65. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east after midnight.
Sunday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning.
Sunday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Monday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94.
Monday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Tuesday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Tuesday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90.
Wednesday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Thursday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for North Valley NM.

Weather Forecast Discussion
694
FXUS65 KABQ 271120 AAA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
520 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 425 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025

- Shower and storm coverage gradually lowers through Saturday, but
  slow storm motion will keep the risk for flash flooding going,
  mainly on recent burn scars.

- Another surge of monsoon moisture moves in for the first week of
  July, resulting in greater coverage of showers and storms and
  an increasing flash flood threat in the days leading up to the
  Fourth of July holiday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 113 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025

The Monsoon moisture plume bisects the state per the latest water
vapor satellite imagery, with a drier airmass gradually taking hold
across the northwest third or so. An upper high is forecast to build
over the region through Saturday, with the high centroid over Gallup
around 592dam at 500mb by late Saturday. This will bring hotter and
drier conditions to most areas west of the central mountain chain
and especially closer to the AZ border, while sufficient moisture
remains in place across eastern NM for rounds of daytime heating
triggered convection. A high threat for flash flooding remains for
the Ruidoso area today, with the latest CAMs initiating convection
over the scars between 12-1PM and then expanding and moving very
slowly through 4PM. Given the very wet antecedent conditions and the
significant flash flooding yesterday, there is some potential for
catastrophic flash flooding today. The potential for flash flooding
in the Ruidoso area decreases some Saturday as drier air rotates
around the upper high circulation, leading to a downtrend in PWATs
and a downtick in storm coverage. However, a Flash Flood Watch may
still be needed for the Ruidoso area on Saturday and will leave that
decision for later shifts given more recent runs of the CAMs.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 113 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025

The monsoon high will stay over or near NM Sunday through the
middle of next week while another weak Pacific low moves into CA.
Pressure heights will stay rather subdued with 500 mb readings
hovering between 590-593 decameters through Tuesday before
reducing more into Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday of next week.
This will reduce subsidence, but drier air will have settled in on
Sunday, and moisture will have to be re-established. This looks to
happen, not necessarily as a squeeze play between the low to the
west and the Bermuda high like earlier this week, but rather the
monsoon high will be at work. Much of the moisture will initially
have to wrap on the eastern periphery of the monsoon high to enter
NM from the northeast/east, and a faint surface boundary looks to
assist with this as early as Monday. Surface dewpoints and PWATs
would rise considerably over eastern and central zones Monday
before expanding westard into Tuesday and the remainder of the
week. By Thursday, the monsoon high may be eroded enough with the
ingestion of the Pacific low that a brief southerly component
brings up subtropical moisture. This opportunity for subtropical
moisture looks fleeting and brief, but the source region would be
rich with moisture from potential tropical cyclone activity near
or south of the Baja peninsula. Regardless of the exact upper
level wind component, the moisture does look to be much richer
over NM late next week, leading to numerous storms and better odds
for soaking rainfall. Long range ensemble means indicate PWATs
climbing close to 1.0 inch in central NM by Tuesdsay and staying
near or slightly above thereafter, the 4 to 8 day (Tuesday to
Friday) precipitation distributions from the ensemble means also
look reasonable with the Four Corners showcasing the lower mean
QPF amounts of 0.1 to 0.5 inch and most remaining areas between
0.5 to 1.5 inches with higher amounts focused over the higher
mountain ranges.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 425 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist. Another round
of showers and storms will develop this afternoon/evening and may
impact KLVS, KTCC and KROW with gusty winds and short-lived MVFR
conditions. Otherwise, winds will be mostly light outside of
thunderstorm outflow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 113 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025

The 2025 North American Monsoon is in full swing and there are no
critical fire weather concerns for the foreseeable future. Hot and
dry conditions across western NM through the weekend will be replaced
with increasing moisture and good chances for wetting storms from
mid through late next week. Until then, a few dry thunderstorms are
possible across western NM each afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  92  55  94  56 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  87  44  90  46 /   0   0   5   0
Cuba............................  86  54  88  54 /   0   0   5   0
Gallup..........................  90  47  91  48 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  85  51  88  53 /  10   0   5   0
Grants..........................  88  50  90  51 /  10   5  10   0
Quemado.........................  86  54  89  55 /  10  10  10   0
Magdalena.......................  84  60  86  60 /  30  10  10   5
Datil...........................  83  55  86  55 /  30  20  20   5
Reserve.........................  90  49  94  52 /  20  10  10   0
Glenwood........................  93  55  97  57 /  30  10  10   0
Chama...........................  81  47  83  47 /   0   0  10   0
Los Alamos......................  83  59  86  61 /  10  10  10   0
Pecos...........................  82  56  86  55 /  30  20  20   5
Cerro/Questa....................  82  53  85  51 /  10   0  20   0
Red River.......................  73  45  76  42 /  20   5  20   0
Angel Fire......................  76  37  79  34 /  20  10  20   0
Taos............................  85  50  88  50 /   5   5  10   0
Mora............................  79  49  83  49 /  30  10  20   5
Espanola........................  89  57  93  59 /  10   5  10   0
Santa Fe........................  84  60  88  59 /  20  10  10   5
Santa Fe Airport................  88  57  91  58 /  20  10  10   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  89  66  92  67 /  20  10  10   5
Albuquerque Heights.............  91  64  94  68 /  10  10   5   5
Albuquerque Valley..............  92  63  96  62 /  10  10   5   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  92  65  94  65 /  10  10   5   0
Belen...........................  92  60  94  62 /  10  10   5   5
Bernalillo......................  92  63  95  63 /  10  10   5   0
Bosque Farms....................  92  60  95  61 /  10  10   5   0
Corrales........................  93  64  95  63 /  10  10   5   0
Los Lunas.......................  92  62  94  62 /  10  10   5   0
Placitas........................  89  64  92  64 /  10  10  10   0
Rio Rancho......................  92  64  94  65 /  10  10   5   0
Socorro.........................  91  65  94  66 /  20  20   5   5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  84  57  87  59 /  20  10  10   5
Tijeras.........................  86  60  89  60 /  20  10  10   5
Edgewood........................  85  53  88  56 /  20  10  20   5
Moriarty/Estancia...............  86  51  90  51 /  30  20  20   5
Clines Corners..................  80  55  85  56 /  30  20  20   5
Mountainair.....................  82  56  86  57 /  30  20  20   5
Gran Quivira....................  82  55  85  57 /  40  30  20  10
Carrizozo.......................  80  61  85  63 /  50  30  20  10
Ruidoso.........................  72  55  78  54 /  70  30  50  10
Capulin.........................  82  52  84  52 /  30  20  20   5
Raton...........................  86  52  88  52 /  20  20  20   5
Springer........................  87  53  89  52 /  30  20  10   0
Las Vegas.......................  80  52  85  53 /  30  20  10   5
Clayton.........................  86  61  90  61 /  20  20  10  10
Roy.............................  84  57  86  57 /  30  30  10   5
Conchas.........................  90  62  94  63 /  20  30  10  10
Santa Rosa......................  87  61  91  61 /  30  30  10  10
Tucumcari.......................  87  62  92  63 /  20  20  10  10
Clovis..........................  85  65  89  65 /  20  20  10  20
Portales........................  87  65  90  66 /  20  20  10  10
Fort Sumner.....................  87  64  92  64 /  20  20  10  10
Roswell.........................  87  67  94  68 /  30  20  10  10
Picacho.........................  81  61  88  61 /  60  20  30  10
Elk.............................  77  58  84  59 /  70  30  40  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from noon MDT today through this evening for NMZ226.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...11
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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